Lowest Mortgage Rates: Is It Just A Waiting Game?

rtgage rates near historic levels, many homeownersFederal Reserve began a course of slowly lowering
and home buyers are considering refinancing or homeinterest rates to spur economic growth, and to
purchase to lock in low interest rates. But otherencourage potential homeowners to shore up the
potential borrowers are playing the waiting game,flagging housing industry.
watching the market to see if rates go even lower.Most leading economists, including the chairman of the
But with the economy in upheaval, is waiting the bestFederal Reserve, believe one of the primary roles of
option, or should borrowers take the plunge and lock inthe Fed is to instill and maintain consumer confidence in
rates now?the economy, and in the Federal Reserve’s
Most financial and lending experts say the time forability to stem inflation. And, most economists agree
indecision is over, and borrowers interested inthat the Federal Reserve I unlikely to drop interest
refinancing or buying a home should lock in ratesrates again in the near future; rather, most economists
today.believe interest rates will slowly begin to rise as
When rates dipped to record lows in May 2009, manyconsumer spending increases during the nation’s
homeowners rushed to refinance, locking in rates thateconomic recovery.
were at their lowest levels in decades. And as ratesHigher interest rates aren’t all bad; in fact, as
began to inch slowly upward later in the year, potentialinterest rates climb, the cost of most consumer goods
borrowers began to wonder if they should wait to seeremains stable, or may even decrease. However, the
if rates once again crept downward.cost of owning a home can increase dramatically as
But according to today’s financial indicators, themortgage rates mount.
nation’s economy may be in the early stages ofFor most homeowners and potential borrowers, locking
recovery, meaning the time for low rates may be nearin a low interest rate now can yield thousands of
an end. Gambling on lower rates is risky at best, anddollars in savings over the term of the mortgage. Even
could be a strategy that ends up costing borrowers aa fraction of a percentage point can mean substantial
significant amount of money in the long run.savings when spread over the life of a 15- or 30-year
Whether or not the time is right for you to refinance ormortgage. Hesitating to lock in a low rate today can
take out a purchase mortgage is a personal decision.mean the loss of thousands of dollars which cannot be
But understanding the mechanisms that drive interestrecovered. Considering most mortgages are timed to
rates down can help you, as a consumer, develop anbe paid off by the time the homeowner retires,
awareness of whether or not the time is right to lock inneglecting to lock in today’s low rates can
your own interest rates.mean a much smaller nest egg when it comes time
The Role of the Federal Reservefor your own retirement.
The interest rates associated with both 15- andWith the economy showing initial early signs of revival,
30-year mortgages are tied to the yields on U.S.lending experts and others in the banking industry
Treasury Notes. Because these notes are auctionedagree that rates are not likely to drop lower. Playing a
on the open market, demand can vary, and usuallywaiting game and delaying a mortgage or refinance
correlates with the global economy. When demand forcould result in higher interest rates, as well as higher
U.S. Treasury Notes is high, the yield drops; likewise,costs over the life of the loan.
when demand is low, the yield rises.For consumers still uncertain about whether or not
The Federal Reserve Bank determines certain interesttoday’s low interest rates can benefit them and
rates, and can raise or lower these rates in order totheir bottom lines, speaking with a financial adviser or a
curb recession or stem inflation. Generally speaking,mortgage lender can go a long way toward
when signs indicate a recession may be imminent, thedeveloping an understanding of the risks inherent in
Federal Reserve may respond by lowering interestwaiting to refinance or obtain a purchase mortgage.
rates in order to encourage spending and boostLocking in a low rate now, when mortgage rates are
consumer confidence. Likewise when inflation looms,near historic lows, is a sound financial move that can
the Federal Reserve, or Fed as it is often called, canhave a long-term positive effect on your budget over
raise rates.the life of your loan.
During the recent economic and housing crisis, the