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Home Builder Confidence Declines Again

Builder confidence for new single family measures sales predictions for the next
homes has continued its decline in July. six months. This index fell from 51 to
According to the National Association of 46.The index of current sales of new
Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market family homes fell four points to 43. The
Index, builder confidence for new single index of prospective buyer traffic
family homes has declined three decreased two points to 27.The only
additional points to 39.The drop is region to experience an upturn in builder
attributed to increased concerns of confidence was the South, up two points
interest rate increases and housing to 50. Yet, that mark remains well below
affordability, according to the NAHB.The the 77 score of June 2005. The index in
index measures builder perceptions of the Northeast was down to 36, while the
current new single-family home sales, and Midwest dropped to 21.The West had the
the expectations of builders for the next largest decline in confidence, down nine
six months. The perceptions are rated points to 51."In terms of historical
"good, "fair" or "poor."The scores are comparison, the HMI's movement is
compiled and adjusted according to a essentially in line with readings from
seasonal index. Numers under 50 indicate the 1994-95 period when the Federal
that sales are considered poor."The HMI Reserve tightened monetary policy and a
is down from its most recent cyclical fairly orderly cooling-down process
high of 72 in June last year, and occurred in the nation's housing
reflects growing builder uncertainty on markets," Seiders explained."That is what
the heels of reduced sales and increased our forecasts anticipate happening in the
cancellations related to eroding current period, provided the downside
affordability as well as an ongoing risk of rising interest rates and a
withdrawal of investors/speculators from bail-out by investors/speculators do not
the market place," said NAHB Chief become too pronounced," he said. "With
Economist David Seiders."But just as respect to interest rates, we expect the
concerning to many builders is the Federal Reserve to maintain the current
potential for more monetary tightening by 5.25% target for the federal funds rate
the Federal Reserve that could drive for some time, and we're projecting only
interest rates, and thereby homeownership modest increases for long-term interest
costs even higher. Ironically, the Fed's rates from current levels."Martin Lukac
inflation-fighting moves have helped firm represents and a finance web-company
up the rental market and raise the specializing in real estate and mortgage
'owners' equivalent rent' components of rates. We specialize in daily updates,
the core inflation measures that the Fed mortgage news, rate predictions, mortgage
is seeking to contain."All three indices rates and more. Find low home loan
fell this month, with the most dramatic mortgage interest rates from hundreds of
fall occurring in the index which mortgage companies!




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